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See where the money is on the leaderboard

Predictions 3 min read Beginner Updated

Predictions is not part of 4Connecticut. It runs on 4search.com and 4conservative.com. You can read this guide here, and use Predictions on 4search.com.
On this page
  1. Open the leaderboard
  2. The six boards
  3. Filter by topic
  4. Common questions

The leaderboard ranks open markets by how much money is on them. Six boards answer six questions: what is trading most today, this week and since it opened, where the most is riding right now, what is growing fastest and which big markets are the closest calls.

#Open the leaderboard

Select Leaderboard in the row of Predictions pages. The overview has a short version too: Most money today, in the right-hand column, with a Leaderboard › link.

Open the leaderboard

#The six boards

The Predictions leaderboard: six board tabs, a line saying what the board ranks and a table of markets with their leading answer, the money traded today and in all, the move and when they are decided

The leaderboard. The tabs choose the board, and the line under them says what it ranks.

  1. 1Six boards, from most money today to closest calls
  2. 2What this board ranks
  3. 3The leading answer and its chance
  4. 4Money traded today
  5. 5Open the market

The tabs across the top choose the board. On a narrow window they slide sideways.

Board What it ranks
Most money today Dollars traded in the last 24 hours
Most money this week Dollars traded in the last 7 days
Most money ever Dollars traded since the market opened, among open markets
Most money at stake Open interest: what is riding on the outcome right now
Fastest growing Today's money against the week's daily average
Closest calls Big markets where the leading outcome is between 35% and 65%

Each board lists up to 50 markets. Every row shows the question, with its topic and venue under it, the leading answer and its chance, and a few money and time columns that depend on the board, such as Today, Traded, At stake, Day, Decided and, on the growth board, vs. usual. vs. usual compares today's money with the market's daily average over the week, as a multiple such as 3.4×. Day names the answer whose chance moved most in the last day and says by how many points.

Select a column heading to sort the table by it, and select it again to reverse the order. Select a question to open its page. See Read a market's page.

#Filter by topic

A row of chips above the boards, headed All topics, narrows the leaderboard to one topic, such as Sports or Crypto. The board you chose stays selected. Beside the table, a box shows the money by topic for the same period, as bars, so you can see which subjects are drawing it.

#Common questions

Does more money mean the number is right?

No. More money means more attention and usually a steadier price, not a correct one. A heavily traded market can still be wrong. Track Record shows how often markets' favorites have won.

Why do some big markets appear on more than one board?

The boards ask different questions. A market can have the most money today and also be among the closest calls.

Why does a game show up on Most money today but not Most money ever?

Most money ever counts what has traded since a market opened, among markets that are still open. A game that started today has traded a lot today but has little total yet compared with a long-running championship market.

What is the difference between Traded and At stake?

Traded is all the money that has changed hands since the market opened. At stake is what traders hold in open contracts right now.